Trader Note

Before NFP, there are plenty of chances to scalp into a better position if wrong.

Pre-fed, expect some moves but also expect mean reversion. Place stops wide.

Forward looking reports in EU will drop market value in negative markets.

Stock Futures push higher after an election.

DAX spikes higher for Draghi speech (first 5 min). S&P follows. Don't be short the move. Exit higher.

If a big move up in US, don't sell in Asia until midday. Reversal into EU trade expected.

EU Investor confidence only holds for 15 min, then reverses.

30 min before jobless on slow week, look for hedge sell-off in high market.

French employment numbers doesn't move markets.

Japan news has limited traction in EU and none in USA trade.

Thanksgiving: GDP doesn't move markets much.

Eurostat numbers are leaked early (EU PPI).

When markets hear "1998 Russia": EU data doesn't matter. Short.

Rolls: Pre QE will move on you with very little volume and quickly revert. Hard not to puke.

Post Fed: if markets are moving higher, don't get in their way.

If Fed pushes lower, don't get in the way. Calling a bottom is too risky.

(Day after an election) ADP NFP up, bonds lower but briefly. Then right back up.

Before NFP, there are plenty of chances to scalp into a better position if wrong.

If markets are moving before a release, the continuation will not be as great as a reversal on release.

Italian GDP numbers are leaked (insider trading). Watch the pre-release flows for direction.

Japan Credit downgrade: Sell USA with caution.

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